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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?
7 %
chance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$13.5K
24h vol.
$50
1w vol.
$200.94
1m vol.
$1.1K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 7¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 165 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 79 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 53 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 44 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 56 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 53 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 51 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 55 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 56 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 48 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 43 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 43 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 100 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 100 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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