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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?
23 %
chance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$8.5K
24h vol.
$193.83
1w vol.
$994.251
1m vol.
$2.9K
Liquidity
$158.217
Bid / Ask
12¢ / 33¢
Spread 21¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 10¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 27 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 27 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 156 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 263 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 113 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 194 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 44 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 63 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 55¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 63 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 63 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 35 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 819 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 410 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 54 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 55 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 54 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 47 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 4 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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