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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?
4 %
chance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$12.9K
24h vol.
$51
1w vol.
$51
1m vol.
$416.15
Liquidity
$1.9K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 6¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 93 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 33 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 377 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 377 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1,912 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 279 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 185 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 255 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 709 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 25 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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