← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?
42 %
chance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$9.8K
24h vol.
$353.72
1w vol.
$393.51
1m vol.
$1.8K
Liquidity
$123.541
Bid / Ask
22¢ / 61¢
Spread 39¢
Last trade
45¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 40¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 17 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 17 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 49 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 33 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 49 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 37 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 58¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 295 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 136 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.