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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?
8 %
chance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$8.5K
24h vol.
$154.888
1w vol.
$864.858
1m vol.
$1.8K
Liquidity
$676.853
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 10¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 163 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 63 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 34 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 34 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 57 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 34 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 52 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 52 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 52 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 52 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 84 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 29 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 29 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 98 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 39 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 77¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 77¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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