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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?
11 %
chance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$8.9K
24h vol.
$218.193
1w vol.
$872.159
1m vol.
$2.8K
Liquidity
$464.701
Bid / Ask
10¢ / 12¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
11¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 27 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 38 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 38 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 416 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 141 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 49 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 24 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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