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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?
10 %
chance
Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$20.5K
24h vol.
$2.5K
1w vol.
$2.7K
1m vol.
$8K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Bid / Ask
9¢ / 11¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 12¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 85 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 85 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 90 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 90 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 44 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 14 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 46 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 17 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 11 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 26 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 26 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 26 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 49 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 49 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 2,304 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 217 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 289 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 269 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 81 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 400 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 185 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 139 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 99 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 70 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 122 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 127 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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