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Updated 1 day ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?
16 %
chance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$45.1K
24h vol.
$71.68
1w vol.
$7.9K
1m vol.
$36.5K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Bid / Ask
15¢ / 16¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
15¢
Start date
May 21, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 48 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 48 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 131 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 131 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 780 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 87¢ | 660 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 120 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 1,651 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 200 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 440 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 220 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 360 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 131 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 21¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 79¢ | 52 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 21¢ | 52 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 1,754 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 400 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 239 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 5 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 11¢ | 497 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 89¢ | 497 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 70 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 230 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 230 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 91¢ | 378 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 48 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 9¢ | 30 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 8¢ | 205 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 100 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 100 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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