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Updated 1 day ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

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16 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +7.2%1W
Yes 16¢No 84¢

Total volume

$45.1K

24h vol.

$71.68

1w vol.

$7.9K

1m vol.

$36.5K

Liquidity

$7.8K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 16¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$575
15¢$500
14¢$200
14¢$26
13¢$100
10¢$10
9¢$26
8¢$100
8¢$51
8¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$172
16¢$102
17¢$100
17¢$154
17¢$1,000
17¢$100
18¢$400
18¢$100
24¢$10
24¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell85¢48
2 days agoSell15¢48
2 days agoSell86¢131
2 days agoBuy86¢131
2 days agoSell87¢100
2 days agoBuy87¢70
2 days agoBuy87¢30
2 days agoSell13¢780
2 days agoSell87¢660
2 days agoBuy15¢120
2 days agoBuy11¢1,651
2 days agoBuy89¢200
2 days agoBuy89¢440
2 days agoBuy89¢100
2 days agoBuy90¢220
2 days agoBuy90¢360
2 days agoBuy90¢100
2 days agoBuy90¢100
2 days agoBuy90¢131
2 days agoSell21¢100
2 days agoBuy21¢100
2 days agoBuy79¢52
2 days agoBuy21¢52
2 days agoBuy10¢40
2 days agoSell10¢40
4 days agoSell84¢100
4 days agoBuy84¢100
4 days agoBuy11¢1,754
4 days agoSell11¢1,000
4 days agoBuy89¢100
4 days agoBuy89¢400
4 days agoSell11¢239
4 days agoBuy90¢5
4 days agoBuy90¢10
4 days agoSell11¢497
4 days agoSell89¢497
5 days agoSell90¢100
5 days agoSell10¢70
5 days agoSell10¢30
5 days agoBuy10¢230
5 days agoSell10¢230
5 days agoSell91¢378
5 days agoBuy90¢200
5 days agoBuy91¢100
5 days agoSell9¢48
5 days agoSell9¢30
6 days agoSell8¢205
6 days agoSell92¢100
6 days agoSell92¢5
6 days agoBuy8¢100

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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