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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

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7 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▲ +1.7%24h▲ +3.7%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Total volume

$47.9K

24h vol.

$1.3K

1w vol.

$5.7K

1m vol.

$25.8K

Liquidity

$7.7K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 9¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$1,111
3¢$277
3¢$530
3¢$250
3¢$422
2¢$1,500
2¢$281
2¢$250
2¢$433
1¢$417
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$33
4¢$1,000
4¢$286
5¢$877
5¢$100
5¢$521
5¢$844
5¢$300
6¢$791
6¢$281

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell4¢300
1 wk. agoSell96¢200
1 wk. agoSell96¢100
2 wk. agoSell96¢264
2 wk. agoSell5¢264
2 wk. agoSell96¢100
2 wk. agoBuy96¢100
2 wk. agoSell96¢251
2 wk. agoSell5¢251
2 wk. agoBuy4¢970
2 wk. agoBuy96¢620
2 wk. agoBuy96¢100
2 wk. agoBuy96¢251
2 wk. agoBuy4¢816
2 wk. agoBuy96¢600
2 wk. agoSell4¢16
2 wk. agoSell4¢100
2 wk. agoBuy97¢100
2 wk. agoSell95¢13
2 wk. agoBuy95¢13
2 wk. agoSell95¢300
2 wk. agoBuy95¢200
2 wk. agoBuy95¢100
2 wk. agoSell95¢98
2 wk. agoBuy95¢98
2 wk. agoSell96¢207
2 wk. agoBuy95¢98
2 wk. agoBuy96¢109
2 wk. agoSell96¢207
2 wk. agoBuy96¢107
2 wk. agoBuy96¢100
2 wk. agoBuy3¢1,238
2 wk. agoSell4¢100
2 wk. agoBuy96¢220
2 wk. agoBuy97¢207
2 wk. agoBuy97¢311
2 wk. agoBuy97¢300
2 wk. agoBuy97¢100
2 wk. agoBuy4¢100
2 wk. agoBuy96¢84
2 wk. agoSell4¢16
2 wk. agoBuy97¢14
2 wk. agoBuy3¢14
2 wk. agoBuy97¢91
2 wk. agoBuy3¢91
2 wk. agoBuy97¢84
2 wk. agoBuy3¢70
2 wk. agoSell97¢14
2 wk. agoBuy97¢33
2 wk. agoSell97¢33

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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