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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?
7 %
chance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$47.9K
24h vol.
$1.3K
1w vol.
$5.7K
1m vol.
$25.8K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 9¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
May 21, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 300 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 200 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 264 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 264 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 251 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 251 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 970 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 620 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 251 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 816 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 600 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 16 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 300 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 98 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 98 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 207 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 98 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 109 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 207 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 107 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 1,238 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 220 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 207 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 311 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 300 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 84 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 16 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 91 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 91 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 84 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 70 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 33 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 33 |
◆ Smart money
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