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Updated 24 hr. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?
14 %
chance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$65.3K
24h vol.
$696.05
1w vol.
$18.5K
1m vol.
$40.8K
Liquidity
$9.6K
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 15¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
13¢
Start date
May 21, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 585 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 585 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 111 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 86¢ | 11 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 15¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 13¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 62 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 62 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 14 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 14 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 1,693 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 200 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 600 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 758 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 594 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 463 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 131 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 200 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 69 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 84¢ | 31 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 81¢ | 214 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 214 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 1 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 1 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 26 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 26 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 1,039 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 215 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 500 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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