Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 24 hr. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?

Tech
Log in for watchlist

14 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −9.5%1W
Yes 14¢No 86¢

Total volume

$65.3K

24h vol.

$696.05

1w vol.

$18.5K

1m vol.

$40.8K

Liquidity

$9.6K

Bid / Ask

13¢ / 15¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
13¢$2,418
12¢$2,243
11¢$3,403
7¢$586
6¢$400
5¢$470
4¢$375
3¢$333
2¢$1,570
1¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$135
16¢$1,329
17¢$1,150
18¢$1,114
19¢$1,026
21¢$17
22¢$10
26¢$19
27¢$25
28¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell13¢585
2 days agoBuy13¢585
2 days agoSell14¢111
2 days agoBuy14¢100
2 days agoSell86¢11
2 days agoSell85¢0
2 days agoSell15¢0
2 days agoSell13¢100
2 days agoBuy13¢70
2 days agoBuy14¢30
2 days agoSell16¢62
2 days agoBuy16¢62
2 days agoSell81¢14
2 days agoBuy81¢14
2 days agoSell16¢100
2 days agoBuy16¢100
2 days agoSell18¢1,693
2 days agoBuy17¢200
2 days agoBuy17¢600
2 days agoSell83¢5
2 days agoSell83¢10
2 days agoSell83¢20
2 days agoBuy18¢100
2 days agoBuy18¢758
2 days agoBuy84¢594
2 days agoBuy16¢463
2 days agoBuy16¢131
2 days agoBuy84¢200
2 days agoBuy16¢69
2 days agoBuy16¢100
2 days agoSell84¢31
2 days agoSell18¢100
2 days agoBuy18¢100
2 days agoBuy18¢5
2 days agoBuy82¢5
2 days agoBuy19¢40
2 days agoBuy81¢40
2 days agoBuy18¢40
2 days agoBuy82¢40
2 days agoBuy18¢40
2 days agoBuy82¢40
4 days agoSell81¢214
4 days agoBuy81¢214
4 days agoSell17¢1
4 days agoSell83¢1
4 days agoSell17¢26
4 days agoBuy17¢26
4 days agoBuy17¢1,039
4 days agoBuy83¢215
4 days agoBuy83¢500

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.