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Updated 19 hr. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?
4 %
chance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$83.7K
24h vol.
$3.8K
1w vol.
$15.2K
1m vol.
$24.5K
Liquidity
$9.6K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 5¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
May 21, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 11 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 31 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 132 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 31 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 101 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 98 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 98 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 94 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 154 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 154 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 251 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 251 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 541 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 203 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 208 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 97¢ | 2,115 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 55 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 207 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 248 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1,405 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 87 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 87 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 248 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 97¢ | 248 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 3¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 70 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 2¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 96¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 8 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 370 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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