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Updated 19 hr. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?

Tech
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4 %

chance

▲ +0.6%24h▼ −9.8%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Total volume

$83.7K

24h vol.

$3.8K

1w vol.

$15.2K

1m vol.

$24.5K

Liquidity

$9.6K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 5¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$60
3¢$200
3¢$600
3¢$360
3¢$100
3¢$100
3¢$476
3¢$1,050
3¢$3,251
2¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$5
6¢$100
6¢$300
6¢$929
6¢$470
7¢$100
7¢$3,239
7¢$200
8¢$216
10¢$17

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 29%Sells 71%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell5¢11
2 days agoBuy5¢5
2 days agoSell95¢6
2 days agoSell4¢31
2 days agoBuy4¢1
2 days agoSell96¢20
2 days agoBuy4¢10
2 days agoSell95¢132
2 days agoSell5¢31
2 days agoSell5¢101
2 days agoSell4¢98
2 days agoSell96¢98
2 days agoSell5¢100
2 days agoSell95¢94
2 days agoSell95¢6
2 days agoSell5¢154
2 days agoSell95¢154
2 days agoSell96¢251
2 days agoBuy96¢251
2 days agoSell96¢541
2 days agoBuy96¢203
2 days agoBuy96¢100
2 days agoBuy96¢208
2 days agoBuy96¢30
2 days agoSell97¢2,115
2 days agoBuy97¢55
2 days agoBuy97¢100
2 days agoBuy97¢100
2 days agoBuy97¢207
2 days agoBuy97¢248
2 days agoSell3¢1,405
2 days agoBuy3¢87
2 days agoBuy97¢87
2 days agoBuy4¢248
2 days agoBuy97¢248
2 days agoSell2¢100
2 days agoBuy2¢100
2 days agoBuy3¢40
2 days agoSell3¢40
3 days agoBuy4¢100
3 days agoSell4¢40
3 days agoSell4¢60
3 days agoSell2¢100
3 days agoBuy2¢70
3 days agoBuy2¢30
3 days agoSell96¢8
3 days agoSell5¢8
3 days agoSell4¢12
3 days agoBuy4¢12
3 days agoSell4¢370

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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