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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?

Tech
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4 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.2%24h▼ −0.7%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Total volume

$26.6K

24h vol.

$140

1w vol.

$1.4K

1m vol.

$17.9K

Liquidity

$7.9K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$369
5¢$100
4¢$412
4¢$140
4¢$313
4¢$190
4¢$216
3¢$100
3¢$100
3¢$119
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$377
6¢$312
6¢$230
7¢$124
7¢$138
7¢$138
7¢$500
7¢$100
8¢$161
9¢$77

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy94¢85
1 mo. agoBuy6¢10
1 mo. agoBuy6¢55
1 mo. agoSell94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy94¢78
1 mo. agoBuy6¢78
1 mo. agoBuy93¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢5
1 mo. agoSell93¢15
1 mo. agoSell8¢156
1 mo. agoSell92¢29
1 mo. agoBuy8¢77
1 mo. agoBuy8¢50
1 mo. agoSell11¢35
1 mo. agoSell90¢35
1 mo. agoSell91¢55
1 mo. agoSell9¢55
1 mo. agoSell91¢66
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢46
1 mo. agoSell92¢200
1 mo. agoBuy92¢29
1 mo. agoBuy92¢121
1 mo. agoBuy92¢30
1 mo. agoBuy93¢20
1 mo. agoSell8¢130
1 mo. agoBuy8¢40
1 mo. agoBuy8¢40
1 mo. agoBuy8¢50
1 mo. agoSell11¢296
1 mo. agoSell90¢190
1 mo. agoBuy11¢106
1 mo. agoSell88¢100
1 mo. agoBuy88¢100
1 mo. agoSell10¢7
1 mo. agoBuy10¢7
1 mo. agoSell9¢16
1 mo. agoBuy9¢16
1 mo. agoBuy93¢7
1 mo. agoBuy7¢7
1 mo. agoBuy5¢100
1 mo. agoBuy95¢100
1 mo. agoBuy5¢490
1 mo. agoBuy95¢100
1 mo. agoBuy95¢100
1 mo. agoBuy95¢190
1 mo. agoBuy95¢100
1 mo. agoSell92¢100

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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