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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?
4 %
chance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$26.6K
24h vol.
$140
1w vol.
$1.4K
1m vol.
$17.9K
Liquidity
$7.9K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 4¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
May 21, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 85 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 78 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 78 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 156 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 77 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 66 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 121 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 130 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 296 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 190 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 106 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 490 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 190 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 100 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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