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Updated 1 day ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

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21 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +1.1%24h▲ +5.0%1W
Yes 21¢No 79¢

Total volume

$42.4K

24h vol.

$530

1w vol.

$6.4K

1m vol.

$32.3K

Liquidity

$10.2K

Bid / Ask

21¢ / 21¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
19¢$100
19¢$330
19¢$30
18¢$154
18¢$1,100
18¢$63
18¢$543
17¢$103
17¢$100
17¢$235
Asks (sell)Size
21¢$5
21¢$1,012
21¢$208
22¢$400
29¢$11
30¢$10
31¢$10
33¢$30
34¢$30
34¢$150

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell79¢218
2 days agoSell21¢188
2 days agoSell21¢30
2 days agoSell18¢0
2 days agoBuy18¢0
2 days agoSell20¢1,294
2 days agoSell82¢66
2 days agoSell80¢660
2 days agoSell80¢192
2 days agoSell80¢216
2 days agoSell80¢130
2 days agoBuy24¢30
2 days agoBuy76¢102
2 days agoBuy24¢92
2 days agoBuy24¢10
2 days agoBuy17¢2,332
2 days agoBuy82¢404
2 days agoBuy82¢330
2 days agoBuy83¢440
2 days agoBuy83¢346
2 days agoBuy83¢192
2 days agoBuy83¢220
2 days agoBuy83¢100
2 days agoBuy83¢300
2 days agoBuy19¢216
2 days agoBuy81¢216
2 days agoBuy17¢40
2 days agoSell17¢40
2 days agoBuy17¢100
2 days agoSell17¢100
2 days agoSell18¢53
2 days agoSell83¢5
2 days agoSell83¢48
2 days agoSell18¢30
2 days agoSell82¢30
3 days agoSell82¢12
3 days agoSell18¢12
4 days agoSell83¢30
4 days agoSell17¢30
4 days agoSell83¢100
4 days agoBuy83¢100
4 days agoBuy16¢100
4 days agoBuy84¢100
4 days agoBuy18¢112
4 days agoBuy82¢112
4 days agoBuy16¢230
4 days agoBuy84¢100
4 days agoBuy84¢100
4 days agoBuy84¢30
4 days agoSell16¢38

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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