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Updated 1 day ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?
21 %
chance
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$42.4K
24h vol.
$530
1w vol.
$6.4K
1m vol.
$32.3K
Liquidity
$10.2K
Bid / Ask
21¢ / 21¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
18¢
Start date
May 21, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 79¢ | 218 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 21¢ | 188 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 21¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 1,294 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 66 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 80¢ | 660 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 80¢ | 192 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 80¢ | 216 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 80¢ | 130 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 76¢ | 102 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 92 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 2,332 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 404 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 330 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 440 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 346 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 192 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 220 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 300 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 216 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 81¢ | 216 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 40 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 53 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 48 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 82¢ | 12 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 18¢ | 12 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 83¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 83¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 112 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 82¢ | 112 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 16¢ | 230 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 84¢ | 30 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 38 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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