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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?

Tech
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22 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +3.1%1W
Yes 22¢No 78¢

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

8 outcomes
See all 8 outcomes

Total volume

$82.4K

24h vol.

$99.99

1w vol.

$4.4K

1m vol.

$38.6K

Liquidity

$6.9K

Bid / Ask

22¢ / 23¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

23¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$190
18¢$22
18¢$374
18¢$100
18¢$171
18¢$175
17¢$342
17¢$170
17¢$708
16¢$170
Asks (sell)Size
20¢$117
21¢$105
22¢$194
22¢$1,026
22¢$11
23¢$47
23¢$300
29¢$10
29¢$11
32¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy20¢17
1 wk. agoBuy80¢17
1 wk. agoBuy20¢10
1 wk. agoBuy80¢0
1 wk. agoBuy80¢10
1 wk. agoBuy20¢10
1 wk. agoBuy80¢10
1 wk. agoBuy18¢1,053
1 wk. agoSell18¢1,053
1 wk. agoSell82¢139
1 wk. agoSell18¢139
1 wk. agoSell19¢119
1 wk. agoSell81¢119
1 wk. agoSell19¢112
1 wk. agoBuy19¢112
1 wk. agoSell81¢0
1 wk. agoSell19¢0
1 wk. agoSell19¢109
1 wk. agoSell81¢109
1 wk. agoSell19¢20
1 wk. agoSell81¢20
1 wk. agoSell81¢43
1 wk. agoSell19¢43
1 wk. agoSell21¢119
1 wk. agoSell79¢119
1 wk. agoSell20¢100
1 wk. agoSell80¢100
1 wk. agoSell21¢226
1 wk. agoBuy21¢100
1 wk. agoSell79¢126
1 wk. agoBuy18¢382
1 wk. agoBuy81¢196
1 wk. agoSell18¢186
1 wk. agoSell20¢154
1 wk. agoBuy20¢154
1 wk. agoBuy19¢1,990
1 wk. agoSell19¢648
1 wk. agoBuy81¢126
1 wk. agoBuy81¢154
1 wk. agoBuy81¢192
1 wk. agoSell19¢100
1 wk. agoBuy81¢402
1 wk. agoSell19¢154
1 wk. agoSell18¢184
1 wk. agoBuy82¢30
1 wk. agoBuy19¢10
1 wk. agoBuy81¢10
1 wk. agoBuy80¢182
1 wk. agoBuy20¢182
1 wk. agoBuy79¢589

◆ Smart money

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A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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