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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?

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10 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.7%24h▲ +3.7%1W
Yes 10¢No 90¢

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

8 outcomes
See all 8 outcomes

Total volume

$5.5K

24h vol.

$41.319

1w vol.

$379.319

1m vol.

$2.1K

Liquidity

$5.5K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 14¢

Spread 9¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

May 21, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$70
1¢$6
1¢$10,105
1¢$10
1¢$10
1¢$10
0¢$13
0¢$100
0¢$131
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$33
10¢$10
10¢$20
11¢$168
11¢$152
13¢$45
13¢$5
19¢$693
19¢$150
19¢$125

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 86%Sells 14%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy99¢25
1 mo. agoBuy1¢25
1 mo. agoBuy99¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy99¢78
1 mo. agoBuy1¢78
1 mo. agoBuy99¢85
1 mo. agoBuy1¢45
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy99¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy3¢54
1 mo. agoSell3¢24
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy3¢22
1 mo. agoSell3¢22
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoBuy3¢30
1 mo. agoSell8¢3
1 mo. agoBuy8¢3
1 mo. agoSell5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy7¢15
1 mo. agoSell13¢2
1 mo. agoSell6¢13
1 mo. agoBuy6¢17
1 mo. agoSell6¢17
1 mo. agoBuy8¢12
1 mo. agoBuy90¢7
1 mo. agoSell5¢5
2 mo. agoSell96¢1
2 mo. agoSell4¢1
2 mo. agoBuy97¢125
2 mo. agoBuy4¢125
2 mo. agoSell4¢0
2 mo. agoBuy4¢0
2 mo. agoBuy96¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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