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Updated 3 mo. ago
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
4 %
chance
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$488.3K
24h vol.
$20
1w vol.
$20
1m vol.
$489.653
Liquidity
$12.8K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 5¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 24 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 14 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 900 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 347 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 554 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 64 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 15 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 22 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 21 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 19 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 19 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 920 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 611 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 30 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 27 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 252 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 0 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
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