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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 %
chance
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$10.8K
24h vol.
$60
1w vol.
$368.167
1m vol.
$810.181
Liquidity
$11.1K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 6¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 84 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 84 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 89 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 89 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 63 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 44 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 44 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 44 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 44 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 62 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 62 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 62 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 62 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 130 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 130 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 107 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 107 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 85 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 85 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 115 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 115 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 108 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 108 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 90 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 90 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.