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Updated 4 days ago

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 %
chance
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$448.7K
24h vol.
$3.4K
1w vol.
$43K
1m vol.
$100.7K
Liquidity
$98.8K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 5¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Nov 5, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 3 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 3 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 2 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 107 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 107 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 417 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 417 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 387 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 387 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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