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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 %
chance
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$88.5K
24h vol.
$20
1w vol.
$450.84
1m vol.
$7.3K
Liquidity
$16.1K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 5¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Nov 5, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 952 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 952 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 300 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 285 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 140 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 140 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 607 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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