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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
5 %
chance
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
12 outcomesTotal volume
$87.7K
24h vol.
$266.66
1w vol.
$2.7K
1m vol.
$12K
Liquidity
$21.1K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 5¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Nov 5, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 76 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 42 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 624 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 190 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 252 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 76 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 76 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 2 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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