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Updated 15 min. ago

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tech
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43 %

chance

▲ +3.0%1h▲ +3.0%24h
Yes 43¢No 57¢

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$306.2K

24h vol.

$5K

1w vol.

$45.9K

1m vol.

$227.4K

Liquidity

$28.9K

Bid / Ask

42¢ / 43¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

42¢

Start date

Jun 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
42¢$128
41¢$575
40¢$366
39¢$770
38¢$3,424
37¢$2,297
36¢$16
35¢$36
34¢$28
33¢$190
Asks (sell)Size
43¢$650
44¢$2,967
45¢$2,108
46¢$562
47¢$1,069
48¢$1,683
49¢$60
50¢$400
51¢$50
54¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
28 min. agoSell42¢6
28 min. agoSell58¢6
28 min. agoSell43¢95
28 min. agoBuy43¢50
28 min. agoBuy43¢45
29 min. agoBuy43¢577
29 min. agoSell44¢217
29 min. agoBuy57¢180
29 min. agoBuy57¢13
29 min. agoBuy57¢150
29 min. agoSell42¢17
29 min. agoBuy42¢43
29 min. agoSell42¢43
29 min. agoBuy40¢2,843
29 min. agoBuy60¢146
29 min. agoBuy60¢50
29 min. agoBuy60¢2,082
29 min. agoSell40¢48
29 min. agoSell40¢200
29 min. agoSell40¢200
29 min. agoSell40¢118
29 min. agoBuy42¢12
29 min. agoSell42¢12
29 min. agoBuy42¢273
29 min. agoSell42¢69
29 min. agoSell42¢105
29 min. agoBuy59¢100
29 min. agoBuy41¢133
29 min. agoBuy59¢50
29 min. agoBuy59¢83
29 min. agoBuy41¢9
29 min. agoBuy59¢9
29 min. agoBuy59¢13
29 min. agoBuy41¢13
51 min. agoSell39¢300
51 min. agoBuy39¢157
51 min. agoBuy39¢100
51 min. agoBuy39¢43
4 hr. agoBuy40¢25
4 hr. agoSell40¢19
4 hr. agoSell40¢6
8 hr. agoBuy61¢51
8 hr. agoBuy39¢7
8 hr. agoBuy39¢44
9 hr. agoBuy61¢17
9 hr. agoBuy39¢6
9 hr. agoBuy39¢10
9 hr. agoSell60¢35
9 hr. agoSell40¢35
10 hr. agoSell39¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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