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Updated 12 hr. ago

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tech
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40 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 40¢No 61¢

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$301.7K

24h vol.

$1.6K

1w vol.

$42.2K

1m vol.

$223.2K

Liquidity

$29.6K

Bid / Ask

39¢ / 40¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

39¢

Start date

Jun 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
39¢$1,436
38¢$1,615
37¢$1,053
36¢$1,135
35¢$508
34¢$1,037
33¢$190
32¢$26
31¢$5
26¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
40¢$1,112
41¢$1,207
42¢$1,572
43¢$1,771
44¢$3,776
45¢$570
46¢$130
47¢$500
48¢$100
49¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
16 hr. agoBuy61¢2
16 hr. agoBuy39¢2
16 hr. agoBuy61¢16
16 hr. agoBuy39¢16
16 hr. agoBuy61¢125
16 hr. agoBuy39¢125
16 hr. agoBuy61¢67
16 hr. agoBuy39¢67
16 hr. agoBuy61¢112
16 hr. agoBuy39¢112
16 hr. agoBuy61¢112
16 hr. agoBuy39¢112
16 hr. agoBuy61¢25
16 hr. agoBuy39¢25
16 hr. agoBuy61¢84
16 hr. agoBuy39¢84
19 hr. agoSell39¢3
19 hr. agoBuy39¢3
23 hr. agoBuy40¢20
23 hr. agoSell40¢20
1 day agoBuy40¢3
1 day agoSell40¢3
1 day agoBuy61¢1,000
1 day agoBuy39¢1,000
1 day agoBuy40¢3
1 day agoSell40¢3
2 days agoSell39¢14
2 days agoBuy39¢14
2 days agoBuy40¢6
2 days agoSell40¢6
2 days agoBuy40¢6
2 days agoSell40¢6
2 days agoBuy40¢59
2 days agoSell40¢38
2 days agoSell40¢21
2 days agoSell39¢2,184
2 days agoBuy39¢380
2 days agoBuy39¢160
2 days agoBuy39¢150
2 days agoBuy39¢1,000
2 days agoBuy39¢493
2 days agoBuy40¢3
2 days agoSell40¢3
2 days agoBuy40¢6
2 days agoSell40¢6
2 days agoBuy40¢5
2 days agoSell40¢5
2 days agoSell39¢16
2 days agoBuy39¢16
2 days agoBuy40¢6

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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