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Updated 28 min. ago

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

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48 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▲ +6.0%1W
Yes 48¢No 53¢

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$366.3K

24h vol.

$10.3K

1w vol.

$29.6K

1m vol.

$207.4K

Liquidity

$28.9K

Bid / Ask

47¢ / 48¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

48¢

Start date

Jun 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
46¢$219
45¢$120
44¢$599
43¢$130
42¢$618
41¢$106
40¢$20
39¢$250
37¢$5
35¢$305
Asks (sell)Size
47¢$457
48¢$146
49¢$401
50¢$118
51¢$885
52¢$2,237
53¢$1,353
54¢$1,424
55¢$116
56¢$570

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 35%Sells 65%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
36 min. agoSell47¢2,153
36 min. agoBuy46¢252
36 min. agoBuy46¢299
36 min. agoBuy46¢100
36 min. agoSell53¢40
36 min. agoSell53¢241
36 min. agoBuy48¢133
36 min. agoBuy48¢193
36 min. agoBuy48¢5
36 min. agoBuy48¢890
60 min. agoSell48¢51
60 min. agoBuy48¢51
8 hr. agoSell48¢24
8 hr. agoBuy48¢24
8 hr. agoBuy49¢50
8 hr. agoBuy51¢50
8 hr. agoSell48¢128
8 hr. agoBuy48¢35
8 hr. agoBuy48¢9
8 hr. agoSell52¢20
8 hr. agoSell52¢45
8 hr. agoSell52¢18
10 hr. agoBuy52¢300
10 hr. agoSell52¢253
10 hr. agoSell52¢39
10 hr. agoBuy49¢8
12 hr. agoBuy50¢7
12 hr. agoSell50¢7
12 hr. agoSell48¢10
12 hr. agoSell52¢10
12 hr. agoBuy50¢4
12 hr. agoBuy50¢4
13 hr. agoSell50¢366
13 hr. agoSell51¢7
13 hr. agoSell50¢181
13 hr. agoSell50¢179
13 hr. agoSell50¢326
13 hr. agoSell50¢15
13 hr. agoSell50¢40
13 hr. agoSell50¢62
13 hr. agoSell50¢209
13 hr. agoBuy51¢5
13 hr. agoBuy49¢5
16 hr. agoSell50¢5
16 hr. agoSell50¢5
16 hr. agoSell50¢15
16 hr. agoSell50¢15
16 hr. agoSell50¢15
16 hr. agoSell50¢15
16 hr. agoSell50¢12

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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