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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
0 %
chance
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$146.2K
24h vol.
$551.298
1w vol.
$2.3K
1m vol.
$74.6K
Liquidity
$71.3K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jun 4, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2,523 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2,523 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 650 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 600 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 600 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 84 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 84 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 134 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 134 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 538 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 538 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 800 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 800 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 135 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 135 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 794 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 290 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 432 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 154 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 300 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 167 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 333 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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