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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

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7 %

chance

▼ −0.2%24h▼ −2.1%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$218K

24h vol.

$1.8K

1w vol.

$10.7K

1m vol.

$94.8K

Liquidity

$30K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 8¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Jun 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$119
10¢$15
10¢$102
9¢$28
9¢$122
9¢$28
9¢$73
9¢$34
8¢$76
8¢$488
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$36
11¢$36
11¢$36
11¢$36
12¢$515
12¢$80
13¢$18
13¢$1,000
13¢$270
13¢$150

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 59%Sells 41%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy89¢7
1 wk. agoSell89¢7
1 wk. agoBuy89¢60
1 wk. agoSell89¢60
1 wk. agoSell89¢36
1 wk. agoSell11¢36
1 wk. agoSell89¢89
1 wk. agoSell11¢79
1 wk. agoSell11¢10
1 wk. agoBuy11¢173
1 wk. agoSell11¢19
1 wk. agoSell11¢55
1 wk. agoBuy89¢100
1 wk. agoBuy90¢210
1 wk. agoSell90¢160
1 wk. agoBuy10¢32
1 wk. agoSell90¢18
1 wk. agoBuy90¢250
1 wk. agoBuy10¢100
1 wk. agoBuy10¢50
1 wk. agoSell90¢100
1 wk. agoBuy10¢276
1 wk. agoBuy90¢176
1 wk. agoBuy90¢100
1 wk. agoBuy10¢295
1 wk. agoBuy90¢95
1 wk. agoSell10¢200
1 wk. agoBuy10¢96
1 wk. agoBuy90¢96
1 wk. agoSell10¢277
1 wk. agoSell90¢90
1 wk. agoSell90¢22
1 wk. agoBuy10¢50
1 wk. agoSell90¢5
1 wk. agoSell90¢15
1 wk. agoSell90¢95
1 wk. agoBuy90¢5
1 wk. agoSell90¢5
1 wk. agoBuy10¢49
1 wk. agoBuy90¢49
1 wk. agoSell10¢57
1 wk. agoSell90¢12
1 wk. agoSell90¢45
1 wk. agoBuy10¢220
1 wk. agoBuy90¢19
1 wk. agoSell10¢101
1 wk. agoBuy90¢100
1 wk. agoSell10¢100
1 wk. agoSell90¢100
1 wk. agoBuy90¢5

◆ Smart money

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A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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