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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
0 %
chance
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$192K
24h vol.
$638.392
1w vol.
$3K
1m vol.
$119.3K
Liquidity
$107.3K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jun 4, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 84 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 84 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20,424 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 303 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 400 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 134 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 45 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 667 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 300 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 87 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 87 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6,729 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,970 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 107 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14,303 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 218 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 260 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 269 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 410 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 202 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 377 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 290 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2,731 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 520 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 137 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 116 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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