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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
0 %
chance
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$155.6K
24h vol.
$861.89
1w vol.
$3.5K
1m vol.
$31.4K
Liquidity
$61.4K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jun 4, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1,500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 22 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,478 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 4,730 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 175 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 95 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,305 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1,255 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1,025 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 83 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 942 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 3,792 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 3,652 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 140 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,080 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 26 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2,054 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,439 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 54 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 184 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 290 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 61 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 127 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 22 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 9 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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