Which company has best AI model end of 2026? odds
Live implied probabilities across 15 outcomes · $2.6M traded · updated 33 min. ago
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic leads at 49 % · biggest 24h move: Anthropic +1.0 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1Anthropic49 %▲ +1.0%$361.9K
- 2Google40 %—$301.7K
- 3OpenAI7 %▼ −0.2%$218K
- 4Meta2 %▼ −0.5%$188.2K
- 5xAI2 %▼ −0.1%$169.1K
- 6DeepSeek0 %▲ +0.1%$148.3K
- 7Alibaba0 %▼ −0.1%$146.2K
- 8Z.ai0 %—$133.2K
- 9Moonshot0 %—$155.6K
- 10Mistral0 %—$192K
- 11Microsoft0 %—$119K
- 12Amazon0 %—$112.8K
Show all 15 outcomesShow fewer
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Which company has best AI model end of 2026??
- Anthropic is the current favourite at 49 %, ahead of 14 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Related events
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Google71 %19 outcomes$2.9MLargest Company end of October 2026?NVIDIA84 %9 outcomes$587.3KWhich company has the best AI model end of November?Google48 %21 outcomes$328.1KNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?October 2032 %14 outcomes$117.7KAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap$1.75–$2.0T26 %10 outcomes$1.9MLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX64 %12 outcomes$6.6M
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