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Updated 3 days ago

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tech
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2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.5%24h▼ −0.7%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$188.2K

24h vol.

$548.108

1w vol.

$35.6K

1m vol.

$109.5K

Liquidity

$62K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jun 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$150
3¢$139
3¢$5
3¢$237
2¢$152
2¢$419
2¢$2,100
2¢$500
2¢$60
2¢$549
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$463
3¢$364
4¢$25
4¢$40
4¢$32
4¢$25
5¢$220
5¢$136
5¢$122
5¢$115

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy3¢630
4 days agoBuy97¢133
4 days agoBuy97¢159
4 days agoBuy97¢138
4 days agoSell3¢200
4 days agoSell3¢316
4 days agoBuy2¢33
4 days agoBuy2¢100
4 days agoBuy3¢50
4 days agoBuy3¢10
4 days agoBuy3¢123
4 days agoBuy3¢200
4 days agoBuy97¢104
4 days agoSell3¢97
4 days agoSell3¢304
4 days agoSell97¢50
4 days agoBuy3¢10
4 days agoBuy3¢109
4 days agoBuy3¢111
4 days agoBuy3¢24
4 days agoSell3¢400
4 days agoBuy3¢340
4 days agoBuy3¢10
4 days agoSell97¢50
4 days agoBuy4¢200
4 days agoSell4¢200
4 days agoBuy3¢200
4 days agoSell3¢200
4 days agoSell3¢2,138
4 days agoBuy2¢1,188
4 days agoBuy2¢100
4 days agoBuy3¢50
4 days agoBuy3¢49
4 days agoBuy3¢40
4 days agoBuy3¢10
4 days agoBuy4¢134
4 days agoBuy4¢114
4 days agoBuy4¢265
4 days agoBuy4¢54
4 days agoBuy4¢118
4 days agoBuy4¢15
5 days agoSell4¢244
5 days agoBuy4¢96
5 days agoBuy4¢148
5 days agoBuy4¢1,335
5 days agoBuy96¢40
5 days agoBuy96¢138
5 days agoSell4¢200
5 days agoSell4¢200
5 days agoSell4¢200

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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