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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tech
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2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.2%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$169.1K

24h vol.

$541.288

1w vol.

$4.1K

1m vol.

$61.7K

Liquidity

$88.4K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jun 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$1,000
1¢$20,000
1¢$6
1¢$1,357
1¢$55,020
0¢$5,025
0¢$23,549
0¢$90,938
0¢$306,092
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$861
1¢$5
2¢$15
2¢$100
2¢$2,020
2¢$90
3¢$194
3¢$573
3¢$72
3¢$22

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 91%Sells 9%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy99¢134
2 wk. agoBuy1¢134
2 wk. agoBuy99¢5
2 wk. agoBuy1¢5
2 wk. agoBuy99¢411
2 wk. agoBuy1¢411
2 wk. agoBuy99¢800
2 wk. agoBuy1¢800
2 wk. agoBuy99¢135
2 wk. agoBuy1¢135
2 wk. agoBuy99¢5
2 wk. agoBuy1¢5
2 wk. agoBuy1¢428
2 wk. agoSell1¢95
2 wk. agoSell1¢200
2 wk. agoSell1¢7
2 wk. agoSell1¢126
2 wk. agoBuy99¢10
2 wk. agoBuy1¢10
2 wk. agoBuy99¢2
2 wk. agoBuy1¢2
2 wk. agoBuy99¢16
2 wk. agoBuy1¢16
2 wk. agoBuy99¢10
2 wk. agoBuy1¢10
2 wk. agoBuy99¢5
2 wk. agoBuy1¢5
2 wk. agoBuy99¢20
2 wk. agoBuy1¢20
2 wk. agoBuy99¢84
2 wk. agoBuy1¢84
2 wk. agoBuy99¢30
2 wk. agoBuy1¢4
2 wk. agoBuy1¢26
2 wk. agoBuy99¢12
2 wk. agoBuy1¢4
2 wk. agoBuy1¢8
2 wk. agoBuy99¢12
2 wk. agoBuy1¢12
2 wk. agoBuy99¢340
2 wk. agoBuy1¢70
2 wk. agoBuy1¢100
2 wk. agoBuy2¢10
2 wk. agoBuy2¢10
2 wk. agoBuy2¢150
2 wk. agoBuy98¢25
2 wk. agoBuy2¢25
2 wk. agoBuy98¢10
2 wk. agoBuy2¢10
2 wk. agoBuy98¢6

◆ Smart money

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A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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