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Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
10 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 20.5 pp over the past week (−23.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 29% on Sep 13, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $29 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 10% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (251 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 30, 2026).
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Total volume
$33K
24h vol.
$27.6K
1w vol.
$30.6K
1m vol.
$31.3K
Liquidity
$23.7K
Bid / Ask
9¢ / 10¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
8¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Nov 30, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 251 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 32 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 32 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 22 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 22 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 18 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 7 |
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