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Updated 1 wk. ago
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?
96 %
chance
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$30.3K
24h vol.
$5.8K
1w vol.
$15.3K
1m vol.
$28.5K
Liquidity
$29.9K
Bid / Ask
94¢ / 97¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
97¢
Start date
Sep 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 7¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 700 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 659 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 9,156 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 2,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1,756 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 5,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 400 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 753 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 697 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 56 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 300 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 244 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 56 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 706 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 700 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 23 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 23 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 78¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 365 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 365 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 538 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 535 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 0 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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