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Updated 11 hr. ago
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?
85 %
chance
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$53.9K
24h vol.
$11.6K
1w vol.
$38.4K
1m vol.
$53.9K
Liquidity
$22.5K
Bid / Ask
83¢ / 86¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
82¢
Start date
Sep 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 3 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 3 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 0 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 0 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 0 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 556 |
| 20 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 551 |
| 20 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 56 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 51 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 11¢ | 1,719 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 11¢ | 1,304 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 89¢ | 415 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 89¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 89¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 89¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 12¢ | 3,941 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 2,483 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 828 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 200 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 430 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 13¢ | 125 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 125 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1,126 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 61 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 88¢ | 1,065 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 13¢ | 655 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 87¢ | 655 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 14¢ | 911 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 199 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 422 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 290 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 15¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 14¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 565 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 555 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 86¢ | 40 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 40 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 540 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 81¢ | 540 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 77¢ | 300 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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