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Updated 4 wk. ago
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?
86 %
chance
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$8.9K
24h vol.
$1.2K
1w vol.
$7.9K
1m vol.
$8.9K
Liquidity
$23.3K
Bid / Ask
82¢ / 90¢
Spread 8¢
Last trade
83¢
Start date
Sep 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 50¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (8)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 380 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 300 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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