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Updated 2 wk. ago
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?
23 %
chance
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$7.3K
24h vol.
$3K
1w vol.
$7.3K
1m vol.
$7.3K
Liquidity
$20.7K
Bid / Ask
19¢ / 27¢
Spread 8¢
Last trade
18¢
Start date
Sep 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 62¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (12)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 0 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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