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Updated 4 wk. ago

Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?

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68 %

chance

▼ −5.0%1h▲ +5.5%24h▲ +39.0%1W
Yes 68¢No 32¢

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

8 outcomes

Total volume

$15.7K

24h vol.

$4.4K

1w vol.

$15K

1m vol.

$15.7K

Liquidity

$22.4K

Bid / Ask

67¢ / 68¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

67¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 79¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$61
7¢$50
6¢$5
5¢$176
4¢$100
2¢$87
1¢$208
Asks (sell)Size
87¢$59
89¢$50
91¢$5
95¢$40
96¢$8
97¢$136
98¢$30
99¢$219

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (9)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy59¢105
4 wk. agoSell61¢50
4 wk. agoSell59¢5
4 wk. agoBuy42¢50
1 mo. agoBuy74¢159
1 mo. agoBuy19¢5
1 mo. agoBuy24¢50
1 mo. agoBuy26¢40
1 mo. agoBuy27¢64

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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