← Dashboard · Crypto
Updated 2 days ago
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?
92 %
chance
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$38K
24h vol.
$2.5K
1w vol.
$30.2K
1m vol.
$37.5K
Liquidity
$30.1K
Bid / Ask
90¢ / 93¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
90¢
Start date
Sep 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 2 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 278 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 278 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 278 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 278 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 281 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 254 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 27 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 281 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 251 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 281 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 251 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 30 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 4,505 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 4,505 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5,495 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5,495 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 79 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 79 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 1,124 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 1,124 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 160 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 160 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 88¢ | 1,000 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 85¢ | 2,300 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 2,160 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 14¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 270 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 180 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 76¢ | 300 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 212 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 44 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 44 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 4,200 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 3,956 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 239 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 26¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 75¢ | 2,000 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.