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Updated 3 wk. ago

Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?

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46 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▲ +24.5%1W
Yes 46¢No 54¢

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

8 outcomes

Total volume

$14.7K

24h vol.

$1.3K

1w vol.

$13.5K

1m vol.

$14.7K

Liquidity

$24.2K

Bid / Ask

41¢ / 51¢

Spread 10¢

Last trade

41¢

Start date

Sep 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 45¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$87
14¢$190
12¢$190
7¢$71
5¢$6
4¢$100
2¢$30
1¢$71
Asks (sell)Size
60¢$136
61¢$190
63¢$98
65¢$94
69¢$26
70¢$5
74¢$40
75¢$30
77¢$50
79¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (20)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell15¢5
3 wk. agoBuy15¢5
3 wk. agoBuy59¢5
3 wk. agoBuy41¢5
3 wk. agoBuy62¢190
3 wk. agoBuy38¢190
3 wk. agoBuy63¢99
3 wk. agoBuy37¢99
3 wk. agoBuy87¢190
3 wk. agoBuy13¢190
3 wk. agoBuy89¢190
3 wk. agoBuy11¢190
3 wk. agoBuy66¢94
3 wk. agoBuy34¢94
3 wk. agoBuy89¢65
3 wk. agoBuy11¢65
3 wk. agoBuy89¢1
3 wk. agoBuy11¢1
3 wk. agoBuy66¢5
3 wk. agoBuy34¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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