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Updated 3 wk. ago
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?
62 %
chance
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
8 outcomesTotal volume
$10K
24h vol.
$1.9K
1w vol.
$9.1K
1m vol.
$10K
Liquidity
$22.5K
Bid / Ask
56¢ / 67¢
Spread 11¢
Last trade
54¢
Start date
Sep 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 58¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (14)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 0 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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