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Updated 45 min. ago

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?

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36 %

chance

▲ +4.8%1h▼ −2.9%24h▲ +23.7%1W
Yes 36¢No 64¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

14 outcomes
See all 14 outcomes

Total volume

$20.5K

24h vol.

$4.8K

1w vol.

$19.7K

1m vol.

$20.5K

Liquidity

$1.8K

Bid / Ask

32¢ / 39¢

Spread 7¢

Last trade

35¢

Start date

Oct 2, 2026

End date

Oct 21, 2026

ends in 2 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 10,210 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
36¢$100
32¢$51
32¢$33
23¢$88
23¢$30
22¢$33
21¢$33
21¢$81
19¢$70
11¢$40
Asks (sell)Size
39¢$30
39¢$51
40¢$20
40¢$72
40¢$120
42¢$230
42¢$15
43¢$90
43¢$16
43¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
50 min. agoBuy36¢490
50 min. agoBuy63¢300
50 min. agoSell35¢119
50 min. agoBuy65¢20
50 min. agoBuy66¢51
59 min. agoSell32¢13
59 min. agoBuy32¢13
59 min. agoBuy33¢205
59 min. agoBuy66¢51
59 min. agoBuy67¢34
59 min. agoBuy67¢100
59 min. agoBuy67¢20
59 min. agoBuy66¢856
59 min. agoBuy34¢856
59 min. agoBuy70¢33
59 min. agoBuy30¢13
59 min. agoBuy30¢17
59 min. agoBuy30¢4
59 min. agoBuy32¢434
59 min. agoBuy68¢39
59 min. agoBuy68¢100
59 min. agoBuy68¢200
59 min. agoBuy68¢75
59 min. agoBuy68¢20
59 min. agoBuy32¢448
59 min. agoBuy68¢400
59 min. agoBuy68¢48
4 hr. agoSell70¢50
4 hr. agoBuy70¢50
4 hr. agoBuy70¢511
4 hr. agoBuy30¢96
4 hr. agoBuy30¢50
4 hr. agoBuy30¢100
4 hr. agoSell70¢115
4 hr. agoSell70¢150
5 hr. agoSell66¢0
5 hr. agoBuy66¢0
5 hr. agoSell66¢10
5 hr. agoBuy66¢10
5 hr. agoSell33¢3
5 hr. agoBuy33¢3
6 hr. agoBuy68¢20
6 hr. agoBuy32¢20
6 hr. agoBuy67¢51
6 hr. agoBuy32¢6
6 hr. agoBuy33¢20
6 hr. agoSell67¢25
6 hr. agoBuy68¢1
6 hr. agoSell68¢1
7 hr. agoBuy67¢2

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