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Updated 2 wk. ago
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?
8 %
chance
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
14 outcomesTotal volume
$6.7K
24h vol.
$2.6K
1w vol.
$5.9K
1m vol.
$6.7K
Liquidity
$9.5K
Bid / Ask
7¢ / 8¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
8¢
Start date
Oct 2, 2026
End date
Oct 22, 2026
ends in 3 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,257 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 16.1% resolved YES. That is 6.5 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 24¢Snapshot from cache
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