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Updated 1 day ago

Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?

Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?

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16 %

chance

▲ +1.1%1h▼ −4.7%24h▼ −5.8%1W
Yes 16¢No 84¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

14 outcomes
See all 14 outcomes

Total volume

$41.5K

24h vol.

$2.6K

1w vol.

$28.1K

1m vol.

$41.7K

Liquidity

$5.3K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 17¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Oct 2, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
20¢$46
20¢$22
20¢$250
20¢$312
20¢$229
20¢$500
20¢$132
19¢$1,062
19¢$350
19¢$1,038
Asks (sell)Size
22¢$120
22¢$20
22¢$22
22¢$312
22¢$100
22¢$337
22¢$100
22¢$1,181
23¢$183
23¢$1,262

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 75%Sells 25%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy79¢20
1 day agoSell79¢20
1 day agoBuy79¢11
1 day agoSell79¢11
1 day agoBuy79¢8
1 day agoSell79¢8
1 day agoSell79¢32
1 day agoBuy79¢32
2 days agoBuy80¢6
2 days agoSell80¢6
2 days agoSell20¢20
2 days agoSell80¢4
2 days agoSell80¢16
2 days agoSell20¢20
2 days agoSell80¢4
2 days agoSell80¢16
2 days agoSell21¢30
2 days agoSell80¢30
2 days agoBuy79¢30
2 days agoSell79¢30
2 days agoBuy79¢19
2 days agoSell79¢19
2 days agoBuy78¢20
2 days agoBuy22¢20
2 days agoBuy78¢75
2 days agoSell78¢75
2 days agoBuy79¢30
2 days agoSell79¢30
2 days agoBuy81¢100
2 days agoBuy19¢100
2 days agoBuy82¢45
2 days agoBuy18¢20
2 days agoBuy18¢25
2 days agoBuy20¢64
2 days agoSell20¢44
2 days agoBuy80¢21
2 days agoBuy82¢5
2 days agoBuy18¢5
2 days agoSell79¢50
2 days agoBuy79¢50
2 days agoBuy79¢40
2 days agoBuy21¢40
2 days agoBuy22¢40
2 days agoBuy78¢40
2 days agoBuy20¢50
2 days agoBuy80¢50
2 days agoBuy20¢200
2 days agoBuy80¢100
2 days agoBuy81¢50
2 days agoBuy81¢50

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