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Updated 16 min. ago

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?

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19 %

chance

▼ −1.4%1h▲ +11.5%24h▲ +16.1%1W
Yes 19¢No 81¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

14 outcomes
See all 14 outcomes

Total volume

$14.3K

24h vol.

$6.5K

1w vol.

$13.9K

1m vol.

$14.3K

Liquidity

$1.6K

Bid / Ask

19¢ / 19¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

21¢

Start date

Oct 2, 2026

End date

Oct 23, 2026

ends in 4 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,874 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% one day before resolution, 32.6% resolved YES. That is 6.7 points more often than their average price of 26.0% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
19¢$32
18¢$28
17¢$350
17¢$50
17¢$153
17¢$70
17¢$431
14¢$50
12¢$16
11¢$62
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$150
19¢$196
20¢$120
23¢$20
30¢$20
30¢$30
30¢$10
39¢$52
40¢$233
41¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 63%Sells 37%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
51 min. agoBuy81¢320
51 min. agoBuy19¢134
51 min. agoBuy19¢50
51 min. agoSell81¢119
51 min. agoBuy19¢17
59 min. agoBuy81¢15
59 min. agoSell81¢15
59 min. agoBuy81¢50
59 min. agoSell81¢45
59 min. agoSell81¢5
59 min. agoBuy81¢20
59 min. agoSell81¢20
59 min. agoBuy81¢95
59 min. agoSell81¢66
59 min. agoSell81¢29
5 hr. agoBuy21¢25
5 hr. agoBuy79¢25
5 hr. agoBuy21¢20
5 hr. agoBuy79¢20
5 hr. agoBuy21¢5
5 hr. agoBuy79¢5
6 hr. agoSell19¢17
6 hr. agoBuy19¢17
6 hr. agoSell19¢26
6 hr. agoSell81¢26
6 hr. agoSell20¢44
6 hr. agoBuy20¢35
6 hr. agoBuy20¢10
6 hr. agoSell21¢79
6 hr. agoBuy21¢20
6 hr. agoSell79¢59
9 hr. agoBuy79¢37
9 hr. agoSell79¢37
16 hr. agoSell79¢7
16 hr. agoSell21¢7
16 hr. agoSell21¢9
16 hr. agoSell79¢9
16 hr. agoSell21¢1
16 hr. agoSell79¢1
16 hr. agoBuy76¢250
16 hr. agoSell76¢250
16 hr. agoBuy78¢26
16 hr. agoBuy22¢26
16 hr. agoBuy76¢120
16 hr. agoBuy22¢19
16 hr. agoBuy24¢50
16 hr. agoBuy24¢50
16 hr. agoSell76¢1
16 hr. agoBuy76¢5
16 hr. agoSell76¢5

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