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Updated 31 min. ago

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?

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11 %

chance

▲ +5.6%24h▲ +9.5%1W
Yes 11¢No 89¢

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

14 outcomes
See all 14 outcomes

Total volume

$7.2K

24h vol.

$4.4K

1w vol.

$6.1K

1m vol.

$7.2K

Liquidity

$2.4K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 12¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Oct 2, 2026

End date

Oct 28, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$100
10¢$67
10¢$101
10¢$50
10¢$264
9¢$50
9¢$20
9¢$316
9¢$120
8¢$130
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$230
12¢$100
12¢$121
12¢$50
13¢$300
21¢$29
21¢$9
33¢$12
33¢$20
33¢$77

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
60 min. agoSell89¢31
60 min. agoBuy89¢11
60 min. agoBuy89¢20
3 hr. agoSell89¢20
3 hr. agoBuy89¢20
6 hr. agoBuy90¢8
6 hr. agoSell90¢8
6 hr. agoSell89¢9
6 hr. agoBuy89¢9
6 hr. agoBuy89¢113
6 hr. agoBuy11¢113
6 hr. agoBuy90¢114
6 hr. agoBuy11¢114
6 hr. agoBuy89¢114
6 hr. agoBuy11¢64
6 hr. agoBuy11¢20
6 hr. agoSell89¢30
6 hr. agoBuy89¢26
6 hr. agoSell89¢6
6 hr. agoBuy11¢20
9 hr. agoBuy89¢37
9 hr. agoBuy11¢37
10 hr. agoSell89¢362
10 hr. agoBuy89¢362
10 hr. agoSell89¢38
10 hr. agoBuy89¢8
10 hr. agoBuy89¢30
10 hr. agoBuy11¢100
10 hr. agoBuy89¢90
10 hr. agoBuy89¢10
10 hr. agoBuy11¢100
10 hr. agoBuy89¢38
10 hr. agoBuy89¢20
10 hr. agoBuy90¢20
10 hr. agoSell10¢22
10 hr. agoBuy10¢1,004
10 hr. agoBuy90¢50
10 hr. agoBuy90¢264
10 hr. agoSell10¢50
10 hr. agoBuy90¢50
10 hr. agoSell10¢540
10 hr. agoBuy90¢20
10 hr. agoSell10¢30
10 hr. agoBuy91¢40
10 hr. agoSell91¢40
10 hr. agoBuy91¢20
10 hr. agoSell91¢20
10 hr. agoBuy91¢20
10 hr. agoSell91¢20
11 hr. agoBuy91¢20

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