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Updated 4 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

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13 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▼ −1.5%24h▲ +9.2%1W
Yes 13¢No 87¢

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$122.6K

24h vol.

$45.6K

1w vol.

$120.8K

1m vol.

$122.7K

Liquidity

$14.2K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 13¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 24 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,257 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 16.1% resolved YES. That is 6.5 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$10
11¢$10
11¢$49
10¢$60
10¢$370
10¢$100
9¢$10
9¢$1,350
9¢$5
9¢$9
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$5
13¢$50
13¢$50
14¢$10
14¢$200
14¢$101
15¢$120
16¢$20
16¢$30
16¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 min. agoSell11¢706
6 min. agoBuy10¢175
6 min. agoBuy10¢45
6 min. agoBuy10¢68
6 min. agoSell90¢100
6 min. agoBuy10¢10
6 min. agoBuy11¢7
6 min. agoBuy11¢10
6 min. agoBuy11¢10
6 min. agoBuy11¢7
6 min. agoBuy11¢10
6 min. agoBuy11¢79
6 min. agoBuy11¢18
6 min. agoBuy11¢10
6 min. agoBuy13¢70
6 min. agoBuy13¢11
6 min. agoBuy13¢15
6 min. agoBuy14¢6
6 min. agoBuy14¢5
6 min. agoBuy14¢50
7 min. agoSell14¢60
7 min. agoBuy14¢60
7 min. agoBuy86¢61
7 min. agoBuy14¢61
7 min. agoBuy14¢206
7 min. agoSell14¢86
7 min. agoBuy86¢20
7 min. agoSell14¢100
8 min. agoBuy14¢126
8 min. agoSell14¢26
8 min. agoSell14¢100
8 min. agoBuy14¢68
8 min. agoSell14¢68
13 min. agoBuy14¢70
13 min. agoBuy86¢31
13 min. agoBuy86¢39
13 min. agoBuy14¢31
13 min. agoSell14¢31
15 min. agoBuy14¢100
15 min. agoSell14¢100
27 min. agoSell13¢45
27 min. agoBuy13¢45
34 min. agoBuy13¢15
34 min. agoSell13¢15
35 min. agoSell12¢15
35 min. agoBuy12¢15
35 min. agoBuy13¢15
35 min. agoBuy87¢5
35 min. agoBuy87¢10
36 min. agoSell87¢15

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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