← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 19 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
2 %
chance
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$83.5K
24h vol.
$25.6K
1w vol.
$81.6K
1m vol.
$84.5K
Liquidity
$7.4K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Oct 10, 2026
End date
Oct 20, 2026
ends in 24 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 151 |
| 19 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 151 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 100 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 100 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 100 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 100 |
| 40 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 31 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 21 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 41 min. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 205 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 41 min. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 150 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 150 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 70 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 75 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 155 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 105 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 41 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 147 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 138 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 60 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 3,052 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 22 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 22 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.