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Updated 19 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▼ −4.0%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$83.5K

24h vol.

$25.6K

1w vol.

$81.6K

1m vol.

$84.5K

Liquidity

$7.4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 24 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$76
1¢$1,034
1¢$223
1¢$600
1¢$4,055
1¢$227
1¢$852
1¢$241
1¢$2,010
1¢$1,010
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$105
2¢$240
2¢$500
3¢$100
3¢$9
3¢$87
3¢$100
3¢$100
4¢$100
4¢$130

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 91%Sells 9%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
19 min. agoSell2¢151
19 min. agoBuy2¢151
20 min. agoBuy2¢100
20 min. agoBuy98¢100
40 min. agoBuy2¢100
40 min. agoBuy98¢100
40 min. agoBuy2¢31
40 min. agoSell2¢21
40 min. agoSell2¢5
40 min. agoSell2¢5
41 min. agoSell2¢205
41 min. agoBuy2¢50
41 min. agoBuy2¢5
41 min. agoBuy2¢150
1 hr. agoSell1¢150
1 hr. agoBuy1¢70
1 hr. agoBuy1¢5
1 hr. agoBuy1¢75
1 hr. agoBuy2¢155
1 hr. agoBuy98¢50
1 hr. agoSell2¢5
1 hr. agoBuy98¢100
2 hr. agoBuy1¢105
2 hr. agoBuy99¢100
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy99¢57
2 hr. agoBuy1¢15
2 hr. agoBuy1¢41
2 hr. agoBuy99¢57
2 hr. agoBuy1¢57
2 hr. agoBuy99¢27
2 hr. agoBuy1¢27
2 hr. agoBuy99¢147
2 hr. agoBuy1¢9
2 hr. agoBuy1¢138
2 hr. agoBuy99¢100
2 hr. agoBuy1¢35
2 hr. agoBuy1¢60
2 hr. agoBuy1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy99¢5
2 hr. agoBuy1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy98¢3,052
2 hr. agoBuy1¢10
2 hr. agoBuy1¢22
2 hr. agoBuy1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy1¢22
2 hr. agoBuy1¢100
2 hr. agoBuy1¢100
2 hr. agoBuy1¢20
2 hr. agoBuy2¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.