← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 19 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
0 %
chance
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$120.8K
24h vol.
$15.1K
1w vol.
$116.9K
1m vol.
$121K
Liquidity
$33.4K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 10, 2026
End date
Oct 20, 2026
ends in 24 hr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 3,291 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 638 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 115 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 501 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2,036 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,266 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,266 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 511 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 178 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 333 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 464 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 100 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 364 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 100 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 18 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 18 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 89 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 89 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 44 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 44 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 39 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 39 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 28 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 28 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 37 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 37 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 32 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 32 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 300 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,001 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 27 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 974 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,001 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 501 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.