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Updated 19 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

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0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.6%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$120.8K

24h vol.

$15.1K

1w vol.

$116.9K

1m vol.

$121K

Liquidity

$33.4K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 24 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$23,622
0¢$2,273
0¢$674
0¢$787
1¢$463
1¢$126
1¢$120
1¢$164
1¢$200
1¢$23

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 45%Sells 55%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell100¢3,291
2 hr. agoSell0¢638
2 hr. agoSell0¢115
2 hr. agoSell0¢501
2 hr. agoBuy100¢2,036
9 hr. agoSell100¢1,266
9 hr. agoBuy100¢1,266
10 hr. agoSell100¢511
10 hr. agoSell0¢178
10 hr. agoSell0¢333
10 hr. agoBuy100¢464
10 hr. agoSell100¢100
10 hr. agoBuy0¢364
10 hr. agoSell0¢100
10 hr. agoBuy0¢100
10 hr. agoSell0¢18
10 hr. agoBuy0¢18
11 hr. agoSell0¢10
11 hr. agoBuy0¢10
11 hr. agoSell0¢89
11 hr. agoBuy0¢89
11 hr. agoBuy100¢2
11 hr. agoBuy0¢2
11 hr. agoBuy100¢2
11 hr. agoBuy0¢2
11 hr. agoBuy100¢44
11 hr. agoBuy0¢44
11 hr. agoBuy100¢39
11 hr. agoBuy0¢39
11 hr. agoBuy100¢5
11 hr. agoBuy0¢5
11 hr. agoBuy100¢10
11 hr. agoBuy0¢10
11 hr. agoBuy100¢28
11 hr. agoBuy0¢28
11 hr. agoBuy100¢37
11 hr. agoBuy0¢37
11 hr. agoBuy100¢32
11 hr. agoBuy0¢32
11 hr. agoBuy100¢20
11 hr. agoBuy0¢20
11 hr. agoBuy100¢300
11 hr. agoBuy0¢200
11 hr. agoBuy0¢100
13 hr. agoSell100¢1,001
13 hr. agoBuy100¢27
13 hr. agoSell0¢974
13 hr. agoBuy100¢1,001
13 hr. agoBuy0¢501
13 hr. agoBuy0¢500

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.