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Updated 36 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

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25 %

chance

▼ −1.4%1h▼ −3.9%24h▲ +22.0%1W
Yes 25¢No 75¢

Total volume

$78.9K

24h vol.

$29K

1w vol.

$78.9K

1m vol.

$79.5K

Liquidity

$7.1K

Bid / Ask

25¢ / 25¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

25¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 23 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 109 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before resolution, 27.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.9%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
24¢$94
23¢$50
22¢$31
22¢$10
22¢$19
22¢$57
22¢$222
21¢$17
21¢$60
21¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
25¢$1,127
26¢$86
26¢$9
27¢$13
27¢$100
29¢$7
29¢$12
29¢$7
29¢$82
30¢$7

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
44 min. agoBuy24¢116
44 min. agoSell24¢30
44 min. agoBuy76¢50
44 min. agoSell24¢5
44 min. agoBuy76¢31
45 min. agoBuy24¢9
45 min. agoBuy76¢9
46 min. agoBuy24¢11
46 min. agoBuy76¢1
46 min. agoBuy76¢10
46 min. agoSell23¢223
46 min. agoBuy23¢30
46 min. agoBuy23¢10
46 min. agoBuy23¢10
46 min. agoBuy23¢38
46 min. agoBuy23¢10
46 min. agoBuy23¢10
46 min. agoBuy23¢60
46 min. agoBuy23¢10
46 min. agoBuy24¢10
46 min. agoBuy24¢10
46 min. agoBuy24¢10
46 min. agoBuy24¢10
46 min. agoBuy25¢5
46 min. agoSell75¢0
46 min. agoSell25¢11
46 min. agoSell75¢11
50 min. agoBuy26¢57
50 min. agoSell26¢57
51 min. agoBuy25¢28
51 min. agoSell25¢28
51 min. agoBuy25¢6
51 min. agoSell25¢6
51 min. agoBuy26¢80
51 min. agoSell26¢39
51 min. agoSell26¢28
51 min. agoSell26¢5
51 min. agoBuy75¢8
53 min. agoBuy24¢83
53 min. agoSell24¢0
53 min. agoSell24¢83
54 min. agoBuy23¢38
54 min. agoSell23¢38
54 min. agoBuy23¢13
54 min. agoSell23¢13
57 min. agoSell25¢500
57 min. agoBuy23¢12
57 min. agoBuy24¢15
57 min. agoBuy24¢10
57 min. agoBuy24¢188

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A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.