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Updated 4 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

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53 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▲ +22.2%24h▲ +50.7%1W
Yes 53¢No 47¢

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$78.8K

24h vol.

$23.7K

1w vol.

$76.4K

1m vol.

$78.9K

Liquidity

$5.4K

Bid / Ask

53¢ / 54¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

54¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 24 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 112 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 35–65% one day before resolution, 50.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 47.8%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
52¢$8
52¢$20
52¢$5
52¢$14
51¢$25
51¢$50
51¢$100
51¢$10
50¢$200
50¢$16
Asks (sell)Size
54¢$15
54¢$29
54¢$20
55¢$10
55¢$61
55¢$300
56¢$15
56¢$5
56¢$5
56¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 38%Sells 62%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 min. agoBuy48¢16
4 min. agoBuy52¢5
4 min. agoBuy52¢11
4 min. agoBuy47¢105
4 min. agoBuy53¢5
4 min. agoSell47¢100
7 min. agoBuy54¢11
7 min. agoBuy46¢11
8 min. agoSell53¢391
8 min. agoBuy53¢98
8 min. agoBuy53¢40
8 min. agoSell47¢50
8 min. agoSell47¢5
8 min. agoSell47¢44
8 min. agoSell47¢5
8 min. agoBuy54¢50
8 min. agoBuy54¢10
8 min. agoBuy54¢29
8 min. agoBuy54¢5
8 min. agoSell46¢56
15 min. agoBuy54¢26
15 min. agoSell54¢26
18 min. agoBuy54¢114
18 min. agoSell54¢114
21 min. agoBuy54¢2
21 min. agoSell54¢2
21 min. agoBuy54¢2
21 min. agoSell54¢2
23 min. agoSell46¢56
23 min. agoSell54¢56
24 min. agoBuy54¢94
24 min. agoSell54¢5
24 min. agoSell54¢89
25 min. agoBuy47¢4
25 min. agoSell47¢4
30 min. agoBuy54¢50
30 min. agoSell54¢3
30 min. agoBuy46¢47
33 min. agoBuy54¢93
33 min. agoSell54¢26
33 min. agoSell54¢5
33 min. agoSell54¢61
1 hr. agoSell52¢147
1 hr. agoBuy52¢6
1 hr. agoBuy52¢5
1 hr. agoSell48¢136
1 hr. agoSell52¢20
1 hr. agoBuy52¢12
1 hr. agoSell48¢8
2 hr. agoBuy46¢5

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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