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Updated 33 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

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0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$77.4K

24h vol.

$20.3K

1w vol.

$73.1K

1m vol.

$77.5K

Liquidity

$15.5K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 24 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 562 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$6,191
0¢$900
0¢$34
0¢$1,397
1¢$20
1¢$149
1¢$10
1¢$632
1¢$156
2¢$2,600

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 hr. agoBuy100¢1,134
6 hr. agoSell100¢100
6 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
6 hr. agoBuy0¢20
6 hr. agoBuy0¢14
6 hr. agoBuy100¢1,392
6 hr. agoBuy0¢727
6 hr. agoBuy0¢100
6 hr. agoBuy0¢100
6 hr. agoBuy0¢100
6 hr. agoBuy0¢100
6 hr. agoBuy0¢100
6 hr. agoBuy0¢100
6 hr. agoBuy0¢65
7 hr. agoSell0¢100
7 hr. agoBuy0¢35
7 hr. agoBuy0¢65
8 hr. agoBuy100¢1,689
8 hr. agoBuy0¢35
8 hr. agoBuy0¢100
8 hr. agoBuy0¢100
8 hr. agoBuy0¢100
8 hr. agoBuy0¢100
8 hr. agoBuy0¢100
8 hr. agoBuy0¢25
8 hr. agoBuy0¢100
8 hr. agoBuy0¢100
8 hr. agoBuy0¢929
9 hr. agoBuy100¢1,448
9 hr. agoBuy0¢71
9 hr. agoBuy0¢100
9 hr. agoBuy0¢25
9 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
9 hr. agoBuy0¢252
9 hr. agoSell0¢200
9 hr. agoBuy0¢200
9 hr. agoSell0¢2,326
9 hr. agoBuy0¢2,326
10 hr. agoSell0¢1,464
10 hr. agoBuy0¢1,464
10 hr. agoSell0¢100
10 hr. agoBuy0¢100
10 hr. agoSell0¢18
10 hr. agoBuy0¢18
11 hr. agoSell0¢89
11 hr. agoBuy0¢89
11 hr. agoBuy100¢2
11 hr. agoBuy0¢2
11 hr. agoBuy100¢2
11 hr. agoBuy0¢2

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.