Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 6 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

5 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −10.5%24h▲ +3.5%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$73.7K

24h vol.

$24.2K

1w vol.

$72K

1m vol.

$73.8K

Liquidity

$9.9K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 6¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Oct 10, 2026

End date

Oct 20, 2026

ends in 23 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,257 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 16.1% resolved YES. That is 6.5 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$26
5¢$56
4¢$25
4¢$100
4¢$54
3¢$11
3¢$47
3¢$20
3¢$20
3¢$65
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$45
6¢$100
7¢$33
7¢$100
7¢$10
7¢$500
7¢$33
7¢$9
8¢$125
8¢$35

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 31%Sells 69%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
8 min. agoSell4¢797
8 min. agoBuy3¢41
8 min. agoBuy3¢80
8 min. agoBuy3¢27
8 min. agoBuy3¢100
8 min. agoBuy3¢25
8 min. agoBuy4¢52
8 min. agoBuy4¢100
8 min. agoBuy4¢34
8 min. agoBuy4¢38
8 min. agoBuy4¢25
8 min. agoBuy4¢44
8 min. agoBuy4¢15
8 min. agoBuy4¢14
8 min. agoBuy5¢100
8 min. agoBuy6¢14
8 min. agoBuy6¢25
8 min. agoBuy6¢22
8 min. agoBuy6¢8
8 min. agoBuy6¢8
8 min. agoBuy6¢5
8 min. agoBuy6¢20
20 min. agoSell7¢13
20 min. agoBuy7¢5
20 min. agoBuy7¢8
24 min. agoBuy7¢56
24 min. agoSell7¢0
24 min. agoSell7¢39
24 min. agoSell7¢17
25 min. agoBuy7¢58
25 min. agoSell7¢17
25 min. agoBuy93¢41
29 min. agoBuy6¢77
29 min. agoBuy94¢21
29 min. agoSell6¢37
29 min. agoSell5¢19
33 min. agoBuy96¢1
33 min. agoBuy4¢1
34 min. agoBuy5¢21
34 min. agoSell5¢21
39 min. agoBuy6¢19
39 min. agoBuy94¢9
39 min. agoBuy94¢10
40 min. agoBuy6¢19
40 min. agoSell6¢4
40 min. agoSell6¢15
42 min. agoBuy6¢17
42 min. agoBuy94¢17
42 min. agoSell3¢1,600
42 min. agoBuy2¢4

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.